Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.031286 0.034145 0.037016 0.040110 0.043344 0.046620 0.050183
2026-02-01 0.026158 0.030323 0.034642 0.039430 0.044570 0.049901 0.055829
2026-02-08 0.022483 0.027570 0.032998 0.039168 0.045938 0.053097 0.061197
2026-02-15 0.020450 0.026338 0.032777 0.040246 0.048588 0.057542 0.067804
2026-02-22 0.018660 0.025176 0.032464 0.041076 0.050843 0.061459 0.073761
2026-03-01 0.016938 0.023923 0.031910 0.041511 0.052552 0.064691 0.078893
2026-03-08 0.015324 0.022655 0.031221 0.041688 0.053882 0.067429 0.083415
2026-03-15 0.014337 0.022060 0.031251 0.042635 0.056042 0.071059 0.088901
2026-03-22 0.012638 0.020452 0.029966 0.041947 0.056234 0.072393 0.091743
2026-03-29 0.011575 0.019573 0.029507 0.042186 0.057463 0.074877 0.095860
2026-04-05 0.010788 0.018998 0.029376 0.042785 0.059085 0.077789 0.100446
2026-04-12 0.009992 0.018351 0.029112 0.043184 0.060439 0.080368 0.104631
2026-04-19 0.008423 0.016551 0.027318 0.041658 0.059473 0.080246 0.105723
2026-04-26 0.007410 0.015460 0.026389 0.041173 0.059736 0.081548 0.108456
2026-05-03 0.006605 0.014610 0.025737 0.041002 0.060358 0.083256 0.111652
2026-05-10 0.006325 0.014536 0.026121 0.042156 0.062610 0.086908 0.117135
2026-05-17 0.005977 0.014325 0.026299 0.043031 0.064507 0.090131 0.122112
2026-05-24 0.005524 0.013912 0.026172 0.043487 0.065869 0.092702 0.126314
2026-05-31 0.005027 0.013385 0.025856 0.043674 0.066876 0.094835 0.129986
2026-06-07 0.004794 0.013284 0.026138 0.044649 0.068876 0.098169 0.135091
2026-06-14 0.004125 0.012364 0.025193 0.043943 0.068715 0.098855 0.137018
2026-06-21 0.003756 0.011945 0.024962 0.044190 0.069759 0.101004 0.140692
2026-06-28 0.003505 0.011722 0.025008 0.044805 0.071269 0.103720 0.145044